“The higher level of disconnection, alienation, more declines in social capital, more groups of people left behind, more geographic areas left behind, this is not the recipe for stable, prosperous, happy society. My worry is not that the robots will take all the jobs, my worry is that more people will be left behind and feel left behind by what’s going on.” –Andrew McAfee Associate Director of the Center for Digital Business at the MIT Sloan School of Management via HBO Vice Special The Future of Work
It is difficult to consider the future without acknowledging the heightened levels of uncertainty, complexity and chaos that we are and will be facing in our present, as well as that future. The pace of change in today’s world often makes us more hesitant, more unsure to choose direction as many of our strategies and actions seem to be outdated upon implementation. As Peter Thiel put forth in book Zero to One, “Big plans for the future have become archaic curiosities.” Yet, it isn’t just our strategies and actions that seem to be falling behind, as our skillsets and capabilities now require constant attention and continuous updating and upskilling.
We live in a time when deep digital disruption is sweeping across our societal ecosystems, changing the conditions for relevance, requiring ongoing personal, organizational and systems-wide adaptation.
We are now having to weigh a widening variety of tensions in accordance with the accompanying volatility of these often disruptive changes…
- Adaptability AND Sustainability
- Agile AND Incremental
- Learning AND Knowing
- Risk AND Safety
- Creativity AND Compliance
- Innovation AND Implementation
- Conflict AND Stability
- Discovery AND Certainty
- Experimentation AND Inaction
- Complexity AND Simplicity
It is for these expanding tensions that we must begin to build not only our awareness, but a deeper understanding of how this digital disruption does not exist in a vacuum. It will have ramifications across a myriad of our societal systems. The digital disruption we are currently witnessing not only has and will continue to transform the world of work, its complex components and dynamic dexterity has the capacity to determine and render a wide variety of our strategies, skills, frameworks, institutions and systems irrelevant.
What we often fail to grasp, is that the future of work is inherently linked and tied systemically to the future of education, the future of our economy, the future of government, the future of our country, and even the future of our world. These systems do not work independent of one another, rather they are interdependent and rely upon each other, as any system does to sustain itself and survive and thrive. When the parts of the system fail to work interdependently, the whole is severely diminished and the system begins to break down, as each part has dynamic impact on the other parts and the whole.
We can no longer view these parts as existing siloed from the whole and believe that the system will not eventually break down.
For example, let’s look at how the future of work (as provided by HBO’s Vice Special – The Future of Work), in an isolated arena, can have great effect on our systems:
“Trucking in the United States is a $700 billion dollar a year industry with 1.8 million people, which has so far been immune to the changes of globalization and technology, but that is about to change with technology like this.”
For which is added by Tusimple’s Vice President Chuck Price…
“We understand this is a highly disruptive technology, on the order of 10 million people, and displacing rapidly that many people would have a dramatic societal impact. We definitely don’t want to see that, we are not targeting that. We are focused on relieving the shortage. But what we are hoping is that there will be a natural evolution into the jobs of the future, just as there has been in every other technological change.”
We cannot believe that this level of possible disruption will exist in a vacuum across our societal ecosystems. It will have great effect on people, on our organizations, on our economy, and even education and our government.
Adjusting, remaining agile and adaptive to these disruptions, will require deep levels of change in our thinking, our mindsets, as well as our systems. Machine learning, automation, artificial intelligence, and robots will not just have sweeping effects on the world of work institutionally and geographically, it will also have a deep effect on a variety of our societal E’s: education, economy and equality.
Inability to attend to this digital disruption will enhance the growing divides we are currently witnessing, both now and in the future.
“Leaders will have to grapple with these emerging realities and incorporate them into their own lives. Most people find it difficult, if not impossible, to imagine what the new technologies will mean for life in the second and third decades of the twenty-first century, despite wanting to embrace them. They need help in grasping how the technologies will affect them and what adjustments they must now make to thrive in the continually emerging digital reality.” -via Brown 2009 Quantum Leadership