“Regardless of the industry or circumstances, one forecast has always been right throughout history: technology will advance, it will invariably intersect with other sources of change within society, and trends are the signposts showing us how changes will manifest in real life.” -via Amy Webb The Signals Are Talking: Why Today’s Fringe Is Tomorrow’s Mainstream
The signals are all around us…
Dots that are swirling, orbiting, spinning, traveling all around our cognitive spaces; disparate dots just waiting to be connected in novel and new ways to move us forward into the future. Or as Martin Ford may say, “Lights in the Tunnel.”
The problem is that we struggle to see these signals and dots.
Whether they are hidden in the chaos of our exponentially changing times or we find that they are pushed away by our own mental models and cognitive biases that are often too confining to stretch past the fantastical realities they are inferring…
We fail to interpret what they are saying.
We fail to interpret the coming transformation they are inferring. We fail to infer the disruptive change and changes they are quietly heralding. We find ourselves trapped by our own cognitive constraints, unable to imagine and envision a new future that is unfolding right before us because of the trappings of our deeply embedded visions of the past. So we talk of boxes and thinking outside to them, instead of confronting the mental models that we continue to drag into the future, limiting the signals we recognize and the depth and breadth of dots we are able to connect.
Too often, in these times of chaos and uncertainty…
We spend our time recoiling back into the safety of the past, when we should be stepping out into the opportunity of the future. When we limit our willingness and ability to connect these disparate dots, to expand our lens into and of the future, the signals become dim and distant, unrecognizable. Rather, our ability and willingness to push past confining cognitive biases and mental models allows those signals to quiver and resonate in the midst of the turbulence created by this new velocity of change, providing our individuals and organizations with a compass in the midst of the chaos and noise that tends to overwhelm those very same individuals and organizations. Providing a more progressive, relevant and impactful way forward into this unpredictable future.
Too often we are blindsided by the unknown, as these signals of the emerging future emanating and radiating from that space beyond the known are often weak, unnoticed or even unbelievable.
Artificial intelligence, automation, digitization, globalization, outsourcing, poverty, are all dots sending out various signals for us to interpret in these exponential times. Harbingers of what is to come; not what will be, but what might be. We need leaders drenched in awareness, awareness of these signals and dots, of the acceleration of change, and of the exponential shifts they are levying across our systems and organizations.
Shifts that are shaking the very foundations of our societal ecosystems.
In the end, the worst stance is to be flat-footed and motionless, when change and disruption comes a calling, determined to pull the rug out from under you, to have the future forced upon you. Rather, we need leaders drenched in awareness, connecting dots, searching for signals, willing to intentionally design our way forward in a much more proactive manner.
Creating organizational relevance in a time of accelerated obsolescence.
“The best leaders sense the future in order to compete in the present. Foresight is the beginning of the journey.” -via Bob Johansen Get There Early: Sensing the Future to Compete in the Present